Michel Prazeres vs Paulo Thiago
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
27-6-0Record19-11-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'6"Height5'11"
TBDReachTBD
171 lbsWeight170 lbs
Coalizao Fight TeamTeamX-Gym
What's at stake
Michel Prazeres is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Paulo Thiago carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+7→ 1767
If they lose-17→ 1743
If they win+17→ 1612
If they lose-7→ 1588
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1642 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1579 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Michel PrazeresPaulo Thiago
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Michel Prazeres78%
Paulo Thiago 22%Elo baseline: 72%
The Combat Edge model makes Michel Prazeres a 78% favorite over Paulo Thiago in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (72%).
Michel Prazeres holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1760 to 1595, a 165-point edge.
Michel Prazeres enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Michel Prazeres finishes 44% of wins inside the distance, Paulo Thiago 63%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.