Combat Edge Intelligence

Michel Prazeres vs Valmir Lazaro

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

27-6-0Record19-8-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'6"Height6'0"
TBDReach73,0"
171 lbsWeight154 lbs
Coalizao Fight TeamTeamNova Uniao

What's at stake

Michel Prazeres is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Valmir Lazaro carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Michel PrazeresNow 1755
If they win+7→ 1762
If they lose-17→ 1738
Valmir LazaroNow 1613
If they win+17→ 1630
If they lose-7→ 1606

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1626 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1514 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.38
Sig. strikes / min
4.87
47%
Strike accuracy
37%
2.51
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.09
58%
Strike defense
62%
3.94
Takedown avg.
1.33
36%
Takedown accuracy
40%
48%
Takedown defense
96%
0.61
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Michel PrazeresValmir Lazaro
1600165017001750180020202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

1 (4%)
KO/TKO
11 (58%)
11 (41%)
Submission
0 (0%)
15 (56%)
Decision
8 (42%)

Combat Edge model read

Michel Prazeres61%
Valmir Lazaro 39%Elo baseline: 69%

The Combat Edge model makes Michel Prazeres a 61% favorite over Valmir Lazaro in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (69%).

Michel Prazeres holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1755 to 1613, a 142-point edge.

Michel Prazeres enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Michel Prazeres finishes 44% of wins inside the distance, Valmir Lazaro 58%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.