Combat Edge Intelligence

Michel Prazeres vs Zak Cummings

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

27-6-0Record25-7-0
WelterweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
5'6"Height6'0"
TBDReachTBD
171 lbsWeight205 lbs
Coalizao Fight TeamTeamFactory X

What's at stake

Michel Prazeres is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Zak Cummings carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Michel PrazeresNow 1755
If they win+11→ 1766
If they lose-13→ 1742
Zak CummingsNow 1739
If they win+13→ 1752
If they lose-11→ 1728

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1626 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1677 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.38
Sig. strikes / min
2.96
47%
Strike accuracy
36%
2.51
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.91
58%
Strike defense
55%
3.94
Takedown avg.
0.62
36%
Takedown accuracy
28%
48%
Takedown defense
67%
0.61
Submission avg.
0.62

Trajectory

Michel PrazeresZak Cummings
175018002021202220232024

Win method breakdown

1 (4%)
KO/TKO
6 (24%)
11 (41%)
Submission
12 (48%)
15 (56%)
Decision
7 (28%)

Combat Edge model read

Zak Cummings61%
Michel Prazeres 39%Elo baseline: 48%

The Combat Edge model makes Zak Cummings a 61% favorite over Michel Prazeres in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Michel Prazeres's way (48%).

Michel Prazeres holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1755 to 1739, a 16-point edge.

Michel Prazeres enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Zak Cummings enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Michel Prazeres finishes 44% of wins inside the distance, Zak Cummings 72%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.