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Combat Edge Intelligence

Michel Quinones vs TJ Brown

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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TJ Brown
us

TJ Brown

“Downtown”

20-12-0LightweightRDC

1602Solid

Tale of the tape

8-3-0Record20-12-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'9"
40,0"Reach72"
145 lbsWeight156 lbs
American Top Team WolfpackTeamWestside MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Michel QuinonesNow 1602
If they win+16→ 1618
If they lose-16→ 1586
TJ BrownNow 1602
If they win+12→ 1614
If they lose-12→ 1590

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1520 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1610 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.91
Sig. strikes / min
3.37
30%
Strike accuracy
45%
5.98
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.89
48%
Strike defense
49%
0
Takedown avg.
3.41
Not available
Takedown accuracy
58%
36%
Takedown defense
37%
0
Submission avg.
1.31

Trajectory

Michel QuinonesTJ Brown
16001650201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

5 (63%)
KO/TKO
4 (20%)
1 (13%)
Submission
12 (60%)
2 (25%)
Decision
4 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

TJ Brown68%
Michel Quinones 32%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes TJ Brown a 68% favorite over Michel Quinones in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Michel Quinones's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1602 vs 1602), separated by just 0 points.

Michel Quinones enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Michel Quinones finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, TJ Brown 80%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.