Combat Edge Intelligence

Michihiro Omigawa vs Thiago Tavares

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

19-15-1Record24-11-1
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'6"Height5'7"
TBDReach68,0"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Neo Judo AcademyTeamTeam Tavares

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Michihiro OmigawaNow 1644
If they win+12→ 1656
If they lose-12→ 1632
Thiago TavaresNow 1645
If they win+12→ 1657
If they lose-12→ 1633

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1555 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1572 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.01
Sig. strikes / min
2
40%
Strike accuracy
40%
3.06
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.31
64%
Strike defense
63%
1.19
Takedown avg.
3.83
37%
Takedown accuracy
43%
49%
Takedown defense
63%
1.51
Submission avg.
1.46

Trajectory

Michihiro OmigawaThiago Tavares
16502019202020212022

Win method breakdown

5 (26%)
KO/TKO
4 (17%)
5 (26%)
Submission
15 (63%)
9 (47%)
Decision
5 (21%)

Combat Edge model read

Thiago Tavares56%
Michihiro Omigawa 44%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Thiago Tavares a 56% favorite over Michihiro Omigawa in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1644 vs 1645), separated by just 1 points.

Michihiro Omigawa finishes 53% of wins inside the distance, Thiago Tavares 79%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.