Michiyoshi Ohara vs Sascha Weinpolter
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
0-2-0Record14-6-1
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
5'10"Height6'0"
TBDReach-
242 lbsWeight240 lbs
New Japan Pro WrestlingTeamIron Fist Gym
What's at stake
Sascha Weinpolter is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +21 while a loss costs more — Michiyoshi Ohara carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+27→ 1496
If they lose-21→ 1448
If they win+21→ 1530
If they lose-27→ 1482
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1619 · 2 fightsPre-fight Elo1521 · 4 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Michiyoshi OharaSascha Weinpolter
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Sascha Weinpolter84%
Michiyoshi Ohara 16%Elo baseline: 56%
The Combat Edge model makes Sascha Weinpolter a 84% favorite over Michiyoshi Ohara in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).
Sascha Weinpolter holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1509 to 1469, a 40-point edge.
Michiyoshi Ohara enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Sascha Weinpolter 93%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.