Mick Stanton vs Mike Van Arsdale
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-10-0Record8-5-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'0"Height6'2"
74"ReachTBD
194 lbsWeight205 lbs
HAMMATeam
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1574
If they lose-16→ 1542
If they win+16→ 1576
If they lose-16→ 1544
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1541 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1589 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Mick StantonMike Van Arsdale
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Mick Stanton51%
Mike Van Arsdale 49%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Mick Stanton a 51% favorite over Mike Van Arsdale in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Mike Van Arsdale's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1558 vs 1560), separated by just 2 points.
Mick Stanton enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Mike Van Arsdale enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Mick Stanton finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Mike Van Arsdale 88%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.