Mick Stanton vs Zac Pauga
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-10-0Record7-4-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'0"Height6'0"
74"Reach76"
194 lbsWeight205 lbs
HAMMATeamElevation Fight Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1589
If they lose-16→ 1557
If they win+16→ 1588
If they lose-16→ 1556
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1584 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1576 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Mick StantonZac Pauga
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Mick Stanton53%
Zac Pauga 47%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Mick Stanton a 53% favorite over Zac Pauga in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1573 vs 1572), separated by just 1 points.
Mick Stanton enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Mick Stanton finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Zac Pauga 29%.
Zac Pauga carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.