Mickael Lebout vs Stevie Ray
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
23-12-2Record26-13-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height5'10"
TBDReachTBD
155 lbsWeight170 lbs
Obyfight· 1582 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamHigher Level MMA
What's at stake
Stevie Ray is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Mickael Lebout carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1630
If they lose-11→ 1606
If they win+15→ 1649
If they lose-17→ 1617
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1587 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1679 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Mickael LeboutStevie Ray
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Stevie Ray72%
Mickael Lebout 28%Elo baseline: 52%
The Combat Edge model makes Stevie Ray a 72% favorite over Mickael Lebout in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).
Stevie Ray holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1634 to 1617, a 17-point edge.
Stevie Ray enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Mickael Lebout finishes 43% of wins inside the distance, Stevie Ray 62%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.