Combat Edge Intelligence

Mickey Gall vs Sage Northcutt

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

7-7-0Record12-3-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'2"Height6'0"
74"Reach71,5"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamTeam Alpha Male

What's at stake

Sage Northcutt is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Mickey Gall carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Mickey GallNow 1565
If they win+20→ 1585
If they lose-12→ 1553
Sage NorthcuttNow 1664
If they win+12→ 1676
If they lose-20→ 1644

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1651 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1608 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.50
Sig. strikes / min
3.58
50%
Strike accuracy
52%
4.72
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.96
50%
Strike defense
59%
1.15
Takedown avg.
1.81
32%
Takedown accuracy
35%
38%
Takedown defense
42%
1.58
Submission avg.
0.60

Trajectory

Mickey GallSage Northcutt
155016001650202220232024

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
5 (42%)
6 (86%)
Submission
4 (33%)
1 (14%)
Decision
3 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Sage Northcutt79%
Mickey Gall 21%Elo baseline: 64%

The Combat Edge model makes Sage Northcutt a 79% favorite over Mickey Gall in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (64%).

Sage Northcutt holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1664 to 1565, a 99-point edge.

Mickey Gall enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Mickey Gall finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Sage Northcutt 75%.

Mickey Gall carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.