Miesha Tate vs Rin Nakai
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
20-10-0Record27-2-1
BantamweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'1"
65"Reach36,0"
136 lbsWeight125 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeamShooto Dojo Shikoku
What's at stake
Rin Nakai is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Miesha Tate carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+16→ 1656
If they lose-8→ 1632
If they win+8→ 1773
If they lose-16→ 1749
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1639 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1507 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Miesha TateRin Nakai
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Rin Nakai75%
Miesha Tate 25%Elo baseline: 67%
The Combat Edge model makes Rin Nakai a 75% favorite over Miesha Tate in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (67%).
Rin Nakai holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1765 to 1640, a 125-point edge.
Rin Nakai enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Miesha Tate finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Rin Nakai 78%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.