Combat Edge Intelligence

Miesha Tate vs Ronda Rousey

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Miesha Tate
us

Miesha Tate

“Cupcake”

20-10-0BantamweightUFC

1640Solid

Tale of the tape

20-10-0Record13-2-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'6"
65"Reach68"
136 lbsWeight135 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeamTeam Hayastan

What's at stake

Ronda Rousey is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Miesha Tate carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Miesha TateNow 1640
If they win+16→ 1656
If they lose-8→ 1632
Ronda RouseyNow 1751
If they win+11→ 1762
If they lose-21→ 1730

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1639 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1649 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.62
Sig. strikes / min
4.17
45%
Strike accuracy
53%
2.98
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.14
52%
Strike defense
44%
2.02
Takedown avg.
6.26
32%
Takedown accuracy
68%
55%
Takedown defense
50%
1.29
Submission avg.
4.82

Trajectory

Miesha TateRonda Rousey
1650170017502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (20%)
KO/TKO
3 (23%)
8 (40%)
Submission
10 (77%)
8 (40%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Ronda Rousey76%
Miesha Tate 24%Elo baseline: 65%

The Combat Edge model makes Ronda Rousey a 76% favorite over Miesha Tate in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (65%).

Ronda Rousey holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1751 to 1640, a 111-point edge.

Miesha Tate finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Ronda Rousey 100%.

Miesha Tate and Ronda Rousey share 3 common opponents: Amanda Nunes, Holly Holm and Sara McMann.

Ronda Rousey carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (3)

LossSUB · 2016
Amanda Nunes
LossKO/TKO · 2016
WinSUB · 2016
Holly Holm
LossKO/TKO · 2015
WinDecision - Majority · 2015
Sara McMann
WinKO/TKO · 2014