Miesha Tate vs Sara McMann
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
20-10-0Record14-7-0
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'6"Height5'5"
65"Reach66"
136 lbsWeight145 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeamTeam Alpha Male
What's at stake
Miesha Tate is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Sara McMann carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1651
If they lose-13→ 1627
If they win+17→ 1635
If they lose-15→ 1603
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1639 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1609 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Miesha TateSara McMann
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Sara McMann52%
Miesha Tate 48%Elo baseline: 47%
The Combat Edge model makes Sara McMann a 52% favorite over Miesha Tate in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Miesha Tate's way (47%).
Miesha Tate holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1640 to 1618, a 22-point edge.
Miesha Tate finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Sara McMann 43%.
Miesha Tate and Sara McMann share 3 common opponents: Ketlen Vieira, Marion Reneau and Jessica Eye.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.