Combat Edge Intelligence

Miesha Tate vs Sara McMann

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Miesha Tate
us

Miesha Tate

“Cupcake”

20-10-0BantamweightUFC

1640Solid

Tale of the tape

20-10-0Record14-7-0
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'6"Height5'5"
65"Reach66"
136 lbsWeight145 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeamTeam Alpha Male· 1645 avg Elo · 21 rated

What's at stake

Miesha Tate is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Sara McMann carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Miesha TateNow 1640
If they win+11→ 1651
If they lose-13→ 1627
Sara McMannNow 1614
If they win+17→ 1631
If they lose-15→ 1599

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1639 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1609 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.62
Sig. strikes / min
2.26
45%
Strike accuracy
46%
2.98
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.92
52%
Strike defense
48%
2.02
Takedown avg.
4.38
32%
Takedown accuracy
65%
55%
Takedown defense
50%
1.29
Submission avg.
0.50

Trajectory

Miesha TateSara McMann
160016502022202320242025

Win method breakdown

4 (20%)
KO/TKO
1 (7%)
8 (40%)
Submission
5 (36%)
8 (40%)
Decision
8 (57%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Miesha Tate and Sara McMann within a point of even.

Miesha Tate holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1640 to 1614, a 26-point edge.

Miesha Tate finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Sara McMann 43%.

Miesha Tate and Sara McMann share 3 common opponents: Ketlen Vieira, Marion Reneau and Jessica Eye.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (3)

WinTKO · 2021
Marion Reneau
LossSUB · 2018
LossDecision (unanimous) · 2021
Ketlen Vieira
LossSUB · 2017
WinDEC · 2015
Jessica Eye
WinDEC · 2016