Combat Edge Intelligence

Miesha Tate vs Yana Santos

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Miesha Tate
us

Miesha Tate

“Cupcake”

20-10-0BantamweightUFC

1640Solid

Tale of the tape

20-10-0Record17-8-0
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'6"Height5'8"
65"Reach68"
136 lbsWeight145 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeamAmerican Top Team

What's at stake

Yana Santos is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Miesha Tate carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Miesha TateNow 1640
If they win+13→ 1653
If they lose-11→ 1629
Yana SantosNow 1661
If they win+15→ 1676
If they lose-17→ 1644

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1639 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1637 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.62
Sig. strikes / min
4.42
45%
Strike accuracy
59%
2.98
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.07
52%
Strike defense
53%
2.02
Takedown avg.
0.87
32%
Takedown accuracy
50%
55%
Takedown defense
54%
1.29
Submission avg.
0.11

Trajectory

Miesha TateYana Santos
16001650202320242025

Win method breakdown

4 (20%)
KO/TKO
7 (41%)
8 (40%)
Submission
1 (6%)
8 (40%)
Decision
9 (53%)

Combat Edge model read

Yana Santos70%
Miesha Tate 30%Elo baseline: 53%

The Combat Edge model makes Yana Santos a 70% favorite over Miesha Tate in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).

Yana Santos holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1661 to 1640, a 21-point edge.

Yana Santos enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Miesha Tate finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Yana Santos 47%.

Miesha Tate and Yana Santos share 3 common opponents: Ketlen Vieira, Marion Reneau and Holly Holm.

Yana Santos carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (3)

WinSUB · 2016
Holly Holm
LossDecision - Unanimous · 2023
LossDecision (unanimous) · 2021
Ketlen Vieira
WinDecision (unanimous) · 2021
WinTKO · 2021
Marion Reneau
WinDEC · 2019