Miguel Baeza vs Tyrone Pfeifer
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-4-0Record8-1-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'2"Height5'9"
74"Reach-
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
MMA MastersTeamTrans4mer Sports Mainz
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1667
If they lose-16→ 1635
If they win+24→ 1674
If they lose-24→ 1626
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1617 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1515 · 9 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Miguel BaezaTyrone Pfeifer
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Tyrone Pfeifer59%
Miguel Baeza 41%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Tyrone Pfeifer a 59% favorite over Miguel Baeza in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Miguel Baeza's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1651 vs 1650), separated by just 1 points.
Miguel Baeza enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Tyrone Pfeifer enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Miguel Baeza finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Tyrone Pfeifer 75%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.