Mike Aina vs Nemat Abdrashitov
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
14-6-1Record20-10-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height5'9"
TBDReach-
155 lbsWeight157 lbs
BJ Penn's MMATeamSyndicate MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1635
If they lose-16→ 1603
If they win+12→ 1632
If they lose-12→ 1608
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1523 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1560 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Mike AinaNemat Abdrashitov
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Nemat Abdrashitov63%
Mike Aina 37%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Nemat Abdrashitov a 63% favorite over Mike Aina in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1619 vs 1620), separated by just 1 points.
Mike Aina enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Mike Aina finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Nemat Abdrashitov 70%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.