Mike Aina vs Rustam Asuev
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-6-1Record10-2-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'7"
TBDReach-
155 lbsWeight149 lbs
BJ Penn's MMATeamFight Club Berkut
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1635
If they lose-16→ 1603
If they win+16→ 1638
If they lose-16→ 1606
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1524 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1511 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Mike AinaRustam Asuev
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Rustam Asuev55%
Mike Aina 45%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Rustam Asuev a 55% favorite over Mike Aina in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1619 vs 1622), separated by just 3 points.
Mike Aina enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Rustam Asuev enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Mike Aina finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Rustam Asuev 30%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.