Mike Breeden vs Tim Wilde
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-6-0Record17-7-1
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'11"
70"Reach75"
160 lbsWeight155 lbs
Marathon MMA· 1669 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamRenegade MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1620
If they lose-16→ 1588
If they win+16→ 1620
If they lose-16→ 1588
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1576 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1579 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Mike BreedenTim Wilde
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Mike Breeden60%
Tim Wilde 40%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Mike Breeden a 60% favorite over Tim Wilde in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1604 vs 1604), separated by just 0 points.
Mike Breeden finishes 82% of wins inside the distance, Tim Wilde 47%.
Tim Wilde carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.