Mike Brown vs Nam Phan
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
26-9-0Record21-17-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'6"Height5'6"
TBDReachTBD
145 lbsWeight141 lbs
American Top TeamTeamNam Phan MMA Academy
What's at stake
Mike Brown is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Nam Phan carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+10→ 1679
If they lose-22→ 1647
If they win+16→ 1556
If they lose-8→ 1532
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1663 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1567 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Mike BrownNam Phan
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Mike Brown60%
Nam Phan 40%Elo baseline: 68%
The Combat Edge model makes Mike Brown a 60% favorite over Nam Phan in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (68%).
Mike Brown holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1669 to 1540, a 129-point edge.
Nam Phan enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Mike Brown finishes 69% of wins inside the distance, Nam Phan 67%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.