Combat Edge Intelligence

Mike Brown vs Steven Siler

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

26-9-0Record33-26-1
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'6"Height5'11"
TBDReachTBD
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
American Top TeamTeamFactory X

What's at stake

Mike Brown is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Steven Siler carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Mike BrownNow 1668
If they win+11→ 1679
If they lose-21→ 1647
Steven SilerNow 1563
If they win+16→ 1579
If they lose-8→ 1555

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1661 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1601 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.98
Sig. strikes / min
3.21
45%
Strike accuracy
42%
2.45
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.96
61%
Strike defense
55%
3.23
Takedown avg.
0.47
40%
Takedown accuracy
21%
67%
Takedown defense
55%
0.62
Submission avg.
1.58

Trajectory

Mike BrownSteven Siler
1550160016501700201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022

Win method breakdown

5 (19%)
KO/TKO
6 (19%)
13 (50%)
Submission
18 (56%)
8 (31%)
Decision
8 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Mike Brown75%
Steven Siler 25%Elo baseline: 65%

The Combat Edge model makes Mike Brown a 75% favorite over Steven Siler in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (65%).

Mike Brown holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1668 to 1563, a 105-point edge.

Steven Siler enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Mike Brown finishes 69% of wins inside the distance, Steven Siler 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.