Combat Edge Intelligence

Mike Campbell vs Nicolas Sávio

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

13-4-0Record13-6-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'7"
TBDReach-
155 lbsWeight154 lbs
Tri-Force MMATeamStrikers MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Mike CampbellNow 1642
If they win+16→ 1658
If they lose-16→ 1626
Nicolas SávioNow 1643
If they win+16→ 1659
If they lose-16→ 1627

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1545 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1542 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.40
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
27%
Strike accuracy
TBD
1.40
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
64%
Strike defense
TBD
5.26
Takedown avg.
TBD
100%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
0%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Mike CampbellNicolas Sávio
1550160016502011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (54%)
KO/TKO
6 (46%)
1 (8%)
Submission
3 (23%)
5 (38%)
Decision
4 (31%)

Combat Edge model read

Nicolas Sávio63%
Mike Campbell 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Nicolas Sávio a 63% favorite over Mike Campbell in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1642 vs 1643), separated by just 1 points.

Mike Campbell enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Mike Campbell finishes 62% of wins inside the distance, Nicolas Sávio 69%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.