Combat Edge Intelligence

Mike Campbell vs Nikolas Motta

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

13-4-0Record15-6-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'8"
TBDReach70"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Tri-Force MMATeamNova Uniao

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Mike CampbellNow 1642
If they win+16→ 1658
If they lose-16→ 1626
Nikolas MottaNow 1642
If they win+16→ 1658
If they lose-16→ 1626

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1545 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1599 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.40
Sig. strikes / min
3.64
27%
Strike accuracy
37%
1.40
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.50
64%
Strike defense
56%
5.26
Takedown avg.
0
100%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
0%
Takedown defense
82%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Mike CampbellNikolas Motta
16001650201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

7 (54%)
KO/TKO
10 (67%)
1 (8%)
Submission
0 (0%)
5 (38%)
Decision
5 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Nikolas Motta63%
Mike Campbell 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Nikolas Motta a 63% favorite over Mike Campbell in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Mike Campbell's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1642 vs 1642), separated by just 0 points.

Mike Campbell enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Mike Campbell finishes 62% of wins inside the distance, Nikolas Motta 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.