Mike Ciesnolevicz vs Neil Grove
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
19-4-0Record12-8-1
Light HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'0"Height6'6"
TBDReachTBD
204 lbsWeight264 lbs
Miletich Martial ArtsTeamDaigaku Karate Kai London
What's at stake
Mike Ciesnolevicz is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Neil Grove carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+10→ 1714
If they lose-22→ 1682
If they win+22→ 1579
If they lose-10→ 1547
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1538 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1589 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Mike CiesnoleviczNeil Grove
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Mike Ciesnolevicz83%
Neil Grove 17%Elo baseline: 70%
The Combat Edge model makes Mike Ciesnolevicz a 83% favorite over Neil Grove in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (70%).
Mike Ciesnolevicz holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1704 to 1557, a 147-point edge.
Mike Ciesnolevicz enters on a 6-fight win streak.
Neil Grove enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Mike Ciesnolevicz finishes 74% of wins inside the distance, Neil Grove 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.