Combat Edge Intelligence

Mike Ciesnolevicz vs Rob Wilkinson

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

19-4-0Record20-5-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'0"Height6'3"
TBDReach80"
204 lbsWeight205 lbs
Miletich Martial ArtsTeamHybrid Training Centre

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Mike CiesnoleviczNow 1704
If they win+16→ 1720
If they lose-16→ 1688
Rob WilkinsonNow 1708
If they win+16→ 1724
If they lose-16→ 1692

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1538 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1664 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

0.51
Sig. strikes / min
2.74
50%
Strike accuracy
50%
4.62
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.66
58%
Strike defense
39%
0
Takedown avg.
4.47
0%
Takedown accuracy
25%
20%
Takedown defense
0%
5.13
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Mike CiesnoleviczRob Wilkinson
165017001750200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (32%)
KO/TKO
11 (55%)
8 (42%)
Submission
7 (35%)
5 (26%)
Decision
2 (10%)

Combat Edge model read

Rob Wilkinson70%
Mike Ciesnolevicz 30%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Rob Wilkinson a 70% favorite over Mike Ciesnolevicz in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1704 vs 1708), separated by just 4 points.

Mike Ciesnolevicz enters on a 6-fight win streak.

Mike Ciesnolevicz finishes 74% of wins inside the distance, Rob Wilkinson 90%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.