Mike Ciesnolevicz vs Tomasz Drwal
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
19-4-0Record22-6-1
Light HeavyweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'1"
TBDReachTBD
204 lbsWeight185 lbs
Miletich Martial ArtsTeamSzkola Walki Drwala
What's at stake
Mike Ciesnolevicz is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Tomasz Drwal carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+12→ 1716
If they lose-20→ 1684
If they win+15→ 1627
If they lose-9→ 1603
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1538 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1574 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Mike CiesnoleviczTomasz Drwal
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Mike Ciesnolevicz54%
Tomasz Drwal 46%Elo baseline: 63%
The Combat Edge model makes Mike Ciesnolevicz a 54% favorite over Tomasz Drwal in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (63%).
Mike Ciesnolevicz holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1704 to 1612, a 92-point edge.
Mike Ciesnolevicz enters on a 6-fight win streak.
Mike Ciesnolevicz finishes 74% of wins inside the distance, Tomasz Drwal 86%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.