Mike Davis vs Natan Levy
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-4-0Record8-2-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height5'9"
72"Reach71"
155 lbsWeight157 lbs
Fusion X-CelTeamSyndicate MMA
What's at stake
Mike Davis is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Natan Levy carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1678
If they lose-17→ 1646
If they win+17→ 1652
If they lose-15→ 1620
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1630 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1570 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Mike DavisNatan Levy
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Mike Davis63%
Natan Levy 37%Elo baseline: 54%
The Combat Edge model makes Mike Davis a 63% favorite over Natan Levy in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).
Mike Davis holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1663 to 1635, a 28-point edge.
Mike Davis finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Natan Levy 38%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.