Combat Edge Intelligence

Mike Davis vs Nurullo Aliev

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Mike Davis
us

Mike Davis

“Beast Boy”

12-4-0LightweightUFC

1663Good

Tale of the tape

12-4-0Record12-0-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height5'10"
72"Reach72"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Fusion X-CelTeamKaizen MMA

What's at stake

Nurullo Aliev is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Mike Davis carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Mike DavisNow 1663
If they win+19→ 1682
If they lose-13→ 1650
Nurullo AlievNow 1733
If they win+13→ 1746
If they lose-19→ 1714

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1630 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1581 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

0
Sig. strikes / min
2.29
44%
Strike accuracy
44%
5.19
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.59
57%
Strike defense
55%
2.48
Takedown avg.
3.48
53%
Takedown accuracy
10%
64%
Takedown defense
80%
0.40
Submission avg.
0.46

Trajectory

Mike DavisNurullo Aliev
16501700175020252026

Win method breakdown

8 (67%)
KO/TKO
2 (17%)
2 (17%)
Submission
0 (0%)
2 (17%)
Decision
10 (83%)

Combat Edge model read

Nurullo Aliev76%
Mike Davis 24%Elo baseline: 60%

The Combat Edge model makes Nurullo Aliev a 76% favorite over Mike Davis in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).

Nurullo Aliev holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1733 to 1663, a 70-point edge.

Nurullo Aliev enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Mike Davis finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Nurullo Aliev 17%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.