Combat Edge Intelligence

Mike Davis vs Nurullo Aliev

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Mike Davis
us

Mike Davis

“Beast Boy”

12-3-0LightweightUFC

1677Good

Tale of the tape

12-3-0Record11-0-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height5'10"
72"Reach72"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Fusion X-CelTeamKaizen MMA

What's at stake

Nurullo Aliev is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Mike Davis carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Mike DavisNow 1677
If they win+18→ 1695
If they lose-14→ 1663
Nurullo AlievNow 1715
If they win+14→ 1729
If they lose-18→ 1697

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1619 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1553 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

0
Sig. strikes / min
2.72
44%
Strike accuracy
45%
5.19
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.63
57%
Strike defense
58%
2.48
Takedown avg.
2.12
53%
Takedown accuracy
19%
64%
Takedown defense
80%
0.40
Submission avg.
0.30

Trajectory

Mike DavisNurullo Aliev
16501700202320242025

Win method breakdown

8 (67%)
KO/TKO
2 (18%)
2 (17%)
Submission
0 (0%)
2 (17%)
Decision
9 (82%)

Combat Edge model read

Nurullo Aliev70%
Mike Davis 30%Elo baseline: 55%

The Combat Edge model makes Nurullo Aliev a 70% favorite over Mike Davis in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).

Nurullo Aliev holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1715 to 1677, a 38-point edge.

Nurullo Aliev enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Mike Davis finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Nurullo Aliev 18%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.