Combat Edge Intelligence

Mike Davis vs Sage Northcutt

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Mike Davis
us

Mike Davis

“Beast Boy”

12-4-0LightweightUFC

1663Good

Tale of the tape

12-4-0Record12-3-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'0"
72"Reach71,5"
155 lbsWeight170 lbs
Fusion X-CelTeamTeam Alpha Male· 1645 avg Elo · 21 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Mike DavisNow 1663
If they win+16→ 1679
If they lose-16→ 1647
Sage NorthcuttNow 1663
If they win+16→ 1679
If they lose-16→ 1647

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1630 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1606 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

0
Sig. strikes / min
3.58
44%
Strike accuracy
52%
5.19
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.96
57%
Strike defense
59%
2.48
Takedown avg.
1.81
53%
Takedown accuracy
35%
64%
Takedown defense
42%
0.40
Submission avg.
0.60

Trajectory

Mike DavisSage Northcutt
1650202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (67%)
KO/TKO
5 (42%)
2 (17%)
Submission
4 (33%)
2 (17%)
Decision
3 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Mike Davis59%
Sage Northcutt 41%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Mike Davis a 59% favorite over Sage Northcutt in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1663 vs 1663), separated by just 0 points.

Mike Davis finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Sage Northcutt 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.