Mike Davis vs Thomas Gifford
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-4-0Record17-10-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height6'1"
72"Reach43,5"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Fusion X-CelTeamSheridan Boxing Club
What's at stake
Mike Davis is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Thomas Gifford carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1676
If they lose-19→ 1644
If they win+14→ 1613
If they lose-10→ 1589
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1630 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1561 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Mike DavisThomas Gifford
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Mike Davis76%
Thomas Gifford 24%Elo baseline: 59%
The Combat Edge model makes Mike Davis a 76% favorite over Thomas Gifford in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).
Mike Davis holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1663 to 1599, a 64-point edge.
Thomas Gifford enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Mike Davis finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Thomas Gifford 94%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.