Combat Edge Intelligence

Mike Easton vs Raphael Assunção

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Mike Easton
us

Mike Easton

“The Hulk”

13-6-0BantamweightSF

1607Solid

Tale of the tape

13-6-0Record28-10-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'5"
TBDReach66"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Alliance MMATeamXtreme Couture

What's at stake

Raphael Assunção is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Mike Easton carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Mike EastonNow 1607
If they win+20→ 1627
If they lose-12→ 1595
Raphael AssunçãoNow 1707
If they win+9→ 1716
If they lose-15→ 1692

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1614 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1700 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.51
Sig. strikes / min
3.22
37%
Strike accuracy
43%
4.28
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.50
62%
Strike defense
67%
0.75
Takedown avg.
1.65
23%
Takedown accuracy
39%
67%
Takedown defense
78%
0
Submission avg.
0.25

Trajectory

Mike EastonRaphael Assunção
160016501700201520162017201820192020202120222023

Win method breakdown

4 (31%)
KO/TKO
4 (14%)
2 (15%)
Submission
10 (36%)
7 (54%)
Decision
14 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Raphael Assunção64%
Mike Easton 36%Elo baseline: 64%

The Combat Edge model makes Raphael Assunção a 64% favorite over Mike Easton in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (64%).

Raphael Assunção holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1707 to 1607, a 100-point edge.

Mike Easton enters on a 6-fight loss streak.

Mike Easton finishes 46% of wins inside the distance, Raphael Assunção 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.