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Combat Edge Intelligence

Mike Graves vs Nicholas Musoke

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

11-2-2Record16-5-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height6'0"
71" Reach75,0"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
American Top TeamTeamAllstars Training Center· 1671 avg Elo · 7 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Mike GravesNow 1658
If they win+16→ 1674
If they lose-16→ 1642
Nicholas MusokeNow 1658
If they win+16→ 1674
If they lose-16→ 1642

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1573 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1570 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

1.25
Sig. strikes / min
3.56
54%
Strike accuracy
36%
1.47
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.80
59%
Strike defense
58%
4.80
Takedown avg.
1.16
0%
Takedown accuracy
19%
67%
Takedown defense
82%
0.40
Submission avg.
0.19

Trajectory

Mike GravesNicholas Musoke
16501700201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (45%)
KO/TKO
4 (25%)
3 (27%)
Submission
5 (31%)
3 (27%)
Decision
7 (44%)

Combat Edge model read

Mike Graves51%
Nicholas Musoke 49%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Mike Graves a 51% favorite over Nicholas Musoke in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1658 vs 1658), separated by just 0 points.

Nicholas Musoke enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Mike Graves finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Nicholas Musoke 56%.

Mike Graves and Nicholas Musoke share 1 common opponent: Bojan Veličković.

Nicholas Musoke carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

DrawDraw (Majority) · 2016
Bojan Veličković
Loss Punches · 2017