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Combat Edge Intelligence

Mike Graves vs Nikita Leshukov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

11-2-2Record10-1-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'11"
71" Reach-
170 lbsWeight155 lbs
American Top TeamTeamNR Fight· 1588 avg Elo · 6 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Mike GravesNow 1664
If they win+16→ 1680
If they lose-16→ 1648
Nikita LeshukovNow 1664
If they win+16→ 1680
If they lose-16→ 1648

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1586 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1515 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

1.25
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
54%
Strike accuracy
Not available
1.47
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
59%
Strike defense
Not available
4.80
Takedown avg.
Not available
0%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
67%
Takedown defense
Not available
0.40
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Mike GravesNikita Leshukov
160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (45%)
KO/TKO
4 (40%)
3 (27%)
Submission
3 (30%)
3 (27%)
Decision
3 (30%)

Combat Edge model read

Mike Graves54%
Nikita Leshukov 46%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Mike Graves a 54% favorite over Nikita Leshukov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1664 vs 1664), separated by just 0 points.

Nikita Leshukov enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Mike Graves finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Nikita Leshukov 70%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.