Combat Edge Intelligence

Mike Graves vs Silvestre Sanchez

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

11-2-2Record9-1-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'9"
71" Reach-
170 lbsWeight158 lbs
American Top TeamTeamUFC Performance Institute

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Mike GravesNow 1657
If they win+16→ 1673
If they lose-16→ 1641
Silvestre SanchezNow 1658
If they win+16→ 1674
If they lose-16→ 1642

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1570 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1493 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.25
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
54%
Strike accuracy
TBD
1.47
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
59%
Strike defense
TBD
4.80
Takedown avg.
TBD
0%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
67%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.40
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Mike GravesSilvestre Sanchez
1550160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (45%)
KO/TKO
3 (33%)
3 (27%)
Submission
5 (56%)
3 (27%)
Decision
1 (11%)

Combat Edge model read

Silvestre Sanchez57%
Mike Graves 43%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Silvestre Sanchez a 57% favorite over Mike Graves in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1657 vs 1658), separated by just 1 points.

Silvestre Sanchez enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Mike Graves finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Silvestre Sanchez 89%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.