Mike Guymon vs Nathan Jones
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-6-1Record17-13-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'0"
TBDReach73"
155 lbsWeight170 lbs
Joker's MMATeamGeat Britian Top Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1543
If they lose-16→ 1511
If they win+12→ 1540
If they lose-12→ 1516
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1576 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1519 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Mike GuymonNathan Jones
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Mike Guymon53%
Nathan Jones 47%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Mike Guymon a 53% favorite over Nathan Jones in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Nathan Jones's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1527 vs 1528), separated by just 1 points.
Mike Guymon enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Mike Guymon finishes 87% of wins inside the distance, Nathan Jones 82%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.