Mike Guymon vs Rory MacDonald
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
15-6-1Record23-10-1
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'0"
TBDReach76.00
155 lbsWeight170 lbs
Joker's MMATeamTristar Gym
What's at stake
Rory MacDonald is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +5 while a loss costs more — Mike Guymon carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+25→ 1551
If they lose-7→ 1519
If they win+5→ 1746
If they lose-19→ 1722
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1576 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1740 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Mike GuymonRory MacDonald
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Rory MacDonald84%
Mike Guymon 16%Elo baseline: 78%
The Combat Edge model makes Rory MacDonald a 84% favorite over Mike Guymon in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (78%).
Rory MacDonald holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1741 to 1526, a 215-point edge.
Mike Guymon enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Rory MacDonald enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Mike Guymon finishes 87% of wins inside the distance, Rory MacDonald 70%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.