Mike Jackson vs Pete Rodriguez
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
2-2-0Record5-2-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'2"Height5'9"
74"Reach71"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Main Street MMATeamDominate MMA
What's at stake
Pete Rodriguez is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +21 while a loss costs more — Mike Jackson carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+18→ 1541
If they lose-14→ 1509
If they win+21→ 1587
If they lose-27→ 1539
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1587 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1534 · 7 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Mike JacksonPete Rodriguez
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Pete Rodriguez72%
Mike Jackson 28%Elo baseline: 56%
The Combat Edge model makes Pete Rodriguez a 72% favorite over Mike Jackson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).
Pete Rodriguez holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1566 to 1523, a 43-point edge.
Pete Rodriguez 100%.
Mike Jackson carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.