Mike Massenzio vs Steve Cantwell
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
13-9-0Record7-6-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'2"
TBDReachTBD
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Team BombsquadTeamOne Kick's Gym
What's at stake
Steve Cantwell is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Mike Massenzio carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+20→ 1549
If they lose-12→ 1517
If they win+12→ 1641
If they lose-20→ 1609
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1571 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1601 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Mike MassenzioSteve Cantwell
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Steve Cantwell75%
Mike Massenzio 25%Elo baseline: 64%
The Combat Edge model makes Steve Cantwell a 75% favorite over Mike Massenzio in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (64%).
Steve Cantwell holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1629 to 1529, a 100-point edge.
Mike Massenzio enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Steve Cantwell enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Mike Massenzio finishes 62% of wins inside the distance, Steve Cantwell 100%.
Mike Massenzio and Steve Cantwell share 1 common opponent: Brian Stann.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.