Combat Edge Intelligence

Mike Moreno vs Ondřej Raška

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Mike Moreno
us

Mike Moreno

“El Palo Duro”

6-5-0MiddleweightDH

1421Developing

Tale of the tape

6-5-0Record12-10-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'2"
TBDReach-
183 lbsWeight185 lbs
Pro BuhaweTeamJetsaam Gym Brno

What's at stake

Ondřej Raška is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Mike Moreno carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Mike MorenoNow 1421
If they win+27→ 1448
If they lose-21→ 1400
Ondřej RaškaNow 1466
If they win+14→ 1480
If they lose-18→ 1448

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1537 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1498 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Mike MorenoOndřej Raška
1450150020162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (50%)
KO/TKO
3 (25%)
1 (17%)
Submission
5 (42%)
2 (33%)
Decision
4 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Ondřej Raška72%
Mike Moreno 28%Elo baseline: 56%

The Combat Edge model makes Ondřej Raška a 72% favorite over Mike Moreno in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).

Ondřej Raška holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1466 to 1421, a 45-point edge.

Mike Moreno enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Mike Moreno finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Ondřej Raška 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.