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Combat Edge Intelligence

Mike Moreno vs Ondřej Raška

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Mike Moreno
us

Mike Moreno

“El Palo Duro”

6-5-0MiddleweightDH

1421Developing

Tale of the tape

6-5-0Record12-10-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'2"
TBDReach-
183 lbsWeight185 lbs
Pro BuhaweTeamJetsaam Gym Brno· 1619 avg Elo · 4 rated

What's at stake

Ondřej Raška is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Mike Moreno carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Mike MorenoNow 1421
If they win+27→ 1448
If they lose-21→ 1400
Ondřej RaškaNow 1469
If they win+14→ 1483
If they lose-18→ 1451

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1537 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1505 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
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Strike accuracy
Not available
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
Not available
Strike defense
Not available
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Takedown avg.
Not available
Not available
Takedown accuracy
Not available
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Takedown defense
Not available
Not available
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Mike MorenoOndřej Raška
1450150020162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (50%)
KO/TKO
3 (25%)
1 (17%)
Submission
5 (42%)
2 (33%)
Decision
4 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Mike Moreno and Ondřej Raška within a point of even.

Ondřej Raška holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1469 to 1421, a 48-point edge.

Mike Moreno enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Mike Moreno finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Ondřej Raška 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.