Combat Edge Intelligence

Mike Moreno vs Ryan Parker

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Mike Moreno
us

Mike Moreno

“El Palo Duro”

6-5-0MiddleweightDH

1421Developing
Ryan Parker
us

Ryan Parker

“The Predator”

4-5-0MiddleweightPF

1476Average

Tale of the tape

6-5-0Record4-5-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'3"
TBDReachTBD
183 lbsWeight185 lbs
Pro BuhaweTeamTeam XCWT MMA

What's at stake

Ryan Parker is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Mike Moreno carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Mike MorenoNow 1421
If they win+28→ 1449
If they lose-20→ 1401
Ryan ParkerNow 1476
If they win+13→ 1489
If they lose-19→ 1457

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1537 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1532 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Mike MorenoRyan Parker
145015002016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

3 (50%)
KO/TKO
2 (50%)
1 (17%)
Submission
1 (25%)
2 (33%)
Decision
1 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Ryan Parker63%
Mike Moreno 37%Elo baseline: 58%

The Combat Edge model makes Ryan Parker a 63% favorite over Mike Moreno in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).

Ryan Parker holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1476 to 1421, a 55-point edge.

Mike Moreno enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Ryan Parker enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Mike Moreno finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Ryan Parker 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.