Mike Nickels vs Wes Combs
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-5-0Record20-6-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'2"
TBDReachTBD
204 lbsWeight230 lbs
Colorado Brazilian Jiu-JitsuTeamMillennia MMA
What's at stake
Wes Combs is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Mike Nickels carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+20→ 1595
If they lose-12→ 1563
If they win+9→ 1667
If they lose-15→ 1643
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1552 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1491 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Mike NickelsWes Combs
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Wes Combs58%
Mike Nickels 42%Elo baseline: 62%
The Combat Edge model makes Wes Combs a 58% favorite over Mike Nickels in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (62%).
Wes Combs holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1658 to 1575, a 83-point edge.
Mike Nickels finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Wes Combs 90%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.