Mike Perry vs Santiago Ponzinibbio
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-8-0Record30-9-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height6'0"
71"Reach73″
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
IndependentTeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
Santiago Ponzinibbio is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Mike Perry carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+17→ 1703
If they lose-15→ 1671
If they win+11→ 1723
If they lose-13→ 1699
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1698 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1721 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Mike PerrySantiago Ponzinibbio
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Mike Perry62%
Santiago Ponzinibbio 38%Elo baseline: 46%
The Combat Edge model makes Mike Perry a 62% favorite over Santiago Ponzinibbio in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Santiago Ponzinibbio's way (46%).
Santiago Ponzinibbio holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1712 to 1686, a 26-point edge.
Mike Perry finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Santiago Ponzinibbio 77%.
Mike Perry and Santiago Ponzinibbio share 2 common opponents: Daniel Rodriguez and Geoff Neal.
Santiago Ponzinibbio carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.