Mike Perry vs Tim Means
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-8-0Record33-17-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height6'2"
71"Reach75"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
IndependentTeamFit NHB
What's at stake
Mike Perry is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Tim Means carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1700
If they lose-18→ 1668
If they win+13→ 1659
If they lose-11→ 1635
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1698 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1672 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Mike PerryTim Means
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Mike Perry77%
Tim Means 23%Elo baseline: 56%
The Combat Edge model makes Mike Perry a 77% favorite over Tim Means in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).
Mike Perry holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1686 to 1646, a 40-point edge.
Tim Means enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Mike Perry finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Tim Means 76%.
Mike Perry and Tim Means share 2 common opponents: Daniel Rodriguez and Max Griffin.
Tim Means carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.