Mike Pierce vs Rousimar Palhares
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-7-0Record19-13-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'8"Height5'8"
TBDReachTBD
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Sports LabTeamTeam Nogueira
What's at stake
Mike Pierce is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Rousimar Palhares carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+7→ 1722
If they lose-17→ 1698
If they win+17→ 1561
If they lose-7→ 1537
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1611 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1543 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Mike PierceRousimar Palhares
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Mike Pierce83%
Rousimar Palhares 17%Elo baseline: 73%
The Combat Edge model makes Mike Pierce a 83% favorite over Rousimar Palhares in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (73%).
Mike Pierce holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1715 to 1544, a 171-point edge.
Mike Pierce enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Rousimar Palhares enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Mike Pierce finishes 53% of wins inside the distance, Rousimar Palhares 84%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.