Mike Pyle vs Rick Story
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
27-14-1Record21-10-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'10"
74,0"Reach40,0"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Syndicate MMATeamMMA Lab
What's at stake
Rick Story is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Mike Pyle carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1688
If they lose-10→ 1664
If they win+10→ 1754
If they lose-14→ 1730
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1668 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1641 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Mike PyleRick Story
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Rick Story60%
Mike Pyle 40%Elo baseline: 60%
The Combat Edge model makes Rick Story a 60% favorite over Mike Pyle in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).
Rick Story holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1744 to 1674, a 70-point edge.
Mike Pyle enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Mike Pyle finishes 85% of wins inside the distance, Rick Story 43%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.