Mike Pyle vs Sean Spencer
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
27-14-1Record12-7-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'10"
74,0"Reach75,0"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Syndicate MMATeamFortis MMA
What's at stake
Mike Pyle is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Sean Spencer carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+9→ 1683
If they lose-15→ 1659
If they win+20→ 1601
If they lose-12→ 1569
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1668 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1615 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Mike PyleSean Spencer
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Mike Pyle56%
Sean Spencer 44%Elo baseline: 63%
The Combat Edge model makes Mike Pyle a 56% favorite over Sean Spencer in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (63%).
Mike Pyle holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1674 to 1581, a 93-point edge.
Mike Pyle enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Sean Spencer enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Mike Pyle finishes 85% of wins inside the distance, Sean Spencer 33%.
Mike Pyle and Sean Spencer share 1 common opponent: Alex Garcia.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.