Mike Pyle vs TJ Waldburger
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
27-14-1Record16-9-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'11"
74,0"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Syndicate MMATeamGrapplers Lair Fight Team
What's at stake
Mike Pyle is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — TJ Waldburger carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+9→ 1683
If they lose-15→ 1659
If they win+20→ 1612
If they lose-12→ 1580
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1668 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1648 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Mike PyleTJ Waldburger
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
TJ Waldburger56%
Mike Pyle 44%Elo baseline: 38%
The Combat Edge model makes TJ Waldburger a 56% favorite over Mike Pyle in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Mike Pyle's way (38%).
Mike Pyle holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1674 to 1592, a 82-point edge.
Mike Pyle enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
TJ Waldburger enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Mike Pyle finishes 85% of wins inside the distance, TJ Waldburger 88%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.