Mike Rio vs Patrik Šebek
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-5-0Record4-1-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height6'2"
TBDReach-
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Zen Jiu-JitsuTeam
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1585
If they lose-16→ 1553
If they win+24→ 1595
If they lose-24→ 1547
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1555 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1510 · 5 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Mike RioPatrik Šebek
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Patrik Šebek60%
Mike Rio 40%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Patrik Šebek a 60% favorite over Mike Rio in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1569 vs 1571), separated by just 2 points.
Mike Rio finishes 90% of wins inside the distance, Patrik Šebek 75%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.