Combat Edge Intelligence

Mike Rodriguez vs Tafon Nchukwi

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

12-7-0Record7-4-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'3"Height6'0"
82,5"Reach77"
205 lbsWeight190 lbs
Lauzon MMATeamTeam Lloyd Irvin

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Mike RodriguezNow 1590
If they win+16→ 1606
If they lose-16→ 1574
Tafon NchukwiNow 1588
If they win+16→ 1604
If they lose-16→ 1572

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1590 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1619 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.35
Sig. strikes / min
5.57
54%
Strike accuracy
53%
4.24
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.11
41%
Strike defense
54%
0
Takedown avg.
0.76
0%
Takedown accuracy
57%
38%
Takedown defense
65%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Mike RodriguezTafon Nchukwi
15501600165020202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

10 (83%)
KO/TKO
4 (57%)
2 (17%)
Submission
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Decision
3 (43%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Mike Rodriguez and Tafon Nchukwi within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1590 vs 1588), separated by just 2 points.

Mike Rodriguez finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Tafon Nchukwi 57%.

Mike Rodriguez carries a 5-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.