Combat Edge Intelligence

Mike Rodriguez vs Tuco Tokkos

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tuco Tokkos

Tuco Tokkos

“Tuco”

11-6-0Light HeavyweightUFC

1592Solid

Tale of the tape

12-7-0Record11-6-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'3"Height6'4"
82,5"Reach76"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Lauzon MMATeamKill Cliff FC

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Mike RodriguezNow 1590
If they win+16→ 1606
If they lose-16→ 1574
Tuco TokkosNow 1592
If they win+16→ 1608
If they lose-16→ 1576

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1590 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1568 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.35
Sig. strikes / min
2.12
54%
Strike accuracy
40%
4.24
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.27
41%
Strike defense
47%
0
Takedown avg.
4.21
0%
Takedown accuracy
47%
38%
Takedown defense
33%
0
Submission avg.
0.47

Trajectory

Mike RodriguezTuco Tokkos
16002020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

10 (83%)
KO/TKO
6 (55%)
2 (17%)
Submission
3 (27%)
0 (0%)
Decision
2 (18%)

Combat Edge model read

Tuco Tokkos60%
Mike Rodriguez 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Tuco Tokkos a 60% favorite over Mike Rodriguez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1590 vs 1592), separated by just 2 points.

Mike Rodriguez finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Tuco Tokkos 82%.

Mike Rodriguez carries a 6-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.