Combat Edge Intelligence

Mike Rodriguez vs Tyson Pedro

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-7-0Record10-7-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'3"Height6'3"
82,5"Reach79"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Mike RodriguezNow 1593
If they win+16→ 1609
If they lose-16→ 1577
Tyson PedroNow 1592
If they win+16→ 1608
If they lose-16→ 1576

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1602 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1635 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.35
Sig. strikes / min
2.90
54%
Strike accuracy
59%
4.24
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.39
41%
Strike defense
56%
0
Takedown avg.
0.76
0%
Takedown accuracy
15%
38%
Takedown defense
50%
0
Submission avg.
0.76

Trajectory

Mike RodriguezTyson Pedro
160016502020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

10 (83%)
KO/TKO
5 (50%)
2 (17%)
Submission
5 (50%)
0 (0%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Tyson Pedro62%
Mike Rodriguez 38%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Tyson Pedro a 62% favorite over Mike Rodriguez in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Mike Rodriguez's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1593 vs 1592), separated by just 1 points.

Tyson Pedro enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Mike Rodriguez finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Tyson Pedro 100%.

Mike Rodriguez carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.